For one, their starting quarterback could be washed. While their team certainly can’t play much worse on offense getting Odell Beckham back and acquiring Saquon Barkley in this year’s draft, I still believe they have a daunting task ahead of them to get to that seventh win. Since they were a playoff team two years ago and were decimated by injuries last year, sharp bettors have pushed this win total up to a clear seven games after it opened at 6.5. Rich: The Giants’ win total is more than double than the three wins they posted a year ago. ![]() They take minutes to complete and there’s even auction drafts! No more setting lineups or constantly worrying about pros, just draft and win! Right now DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers an exclusive FREE entry into a real money draft when you make your first deposit! Here’s the link All the fun of season long drafts but with no management and they last for just one week. It’s daily fantasy football snake drafts instead of salary caps. Add a reasonably difficult schedule to the mix, and this looks like a squad which will set a new low bar for wins in the Reid era.Įditor’s Note: If you love Fantasy Football you have to be playing on DRAFT. This year’s defense looks even worse, and it will not have the advantage of Smith limiting turnovers to help out. That 21st in 2014 obviously stands out, and it is notable both because it is the only season Reid has failed to make the playoffs in Kansas City and because it featured a lackluster defense – 19th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA – which could not create big plays. From 2013 to last season, only Tom Brady had a lower interception percentage among quarterbacks with at least 1,000 attempts, and the Chiefs ranked 2nd, 21st, 2nd, 1st, and 2nd in turnover differential during his five seasons. Smith was incredibly good at taking care of the ball as a Chief. Unfortunately, he is also likely to bring more turnovers. ![]() Patrick Mahomes is exciting, talented, and brings something extra to this offense than Alex Smith was able to offer. The first and perhaps most important reason is at quarterback. Even so, there are reasons to believe this year’s team will struggle more than Reid’s previous Kansas City squads. I have never claimed to be smart, so that might be the correct conclusion. All of that information suggests taking under 8.5 wins is a bet only a fool would make. Since joining Kansas City, Reid has overseen win totals of 11, nine, 11, 12, and 10. He has won at least eight games in all but three of those seasons, and he has won at least nine games in all but five. Raymond: Andy Reid has been an NFL coach for 19 years. With a declining defense and a first-year starter at quarterback, I’m looking at this being the year to go against Reid and the Chiefs. Their opening eight games are especially rough, playing four of their first six games on the road with their home games coming against San Francisco and Jacksonville over that stretch. On top of all that, the Chiefs draw the 28th ranked schedule against the spread according to Warren Sharp. The 2017 Chiefs were already by far the best offense Reid has ever coached in his career and a top-5 NFL offense. There’s also not really any room for the Chiefs to grow on offense even if Mahomes is incredible, either, as Mahomes will have to protect the football not only on a good level but an elite level to match those types of margins. Their record when they lost the turnover battle over that span? 25-26. Since Smith joined the Chiefs, Kansas City has the largest turnover differential in the league (+61) and has won the turnover battle in a league-high 46 games over that stretch. Smith may not have the raw tools of Patrick Mahomes, but one thing that we inherently know correlates well with winning football games is winning the turnover margin, something at which Smith is the best in the league. The difference here is all five of those seasons were helmed by Alex Smith. Rich: Flying in the face of Andy Reid is something I’m not happy with as the Chiefs have hit the over on their projected win total in each of the past five seasons with an average of +2.1 wins than expected. *Note: All totals and odds found at OddsShark Rich Hribar and I will bring you our best bets every single week of the NFL season in Rotoworld’s Season Pass, but we thought we would prime the pump a bit ahead of the season opener with some of our favorite win totals.
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